Institutional & Economic Signal Scan

A few days ago, I posted a Grok prompt I developed for doing a scan of the X.com universe to search for high-emotion tension signals (as well as verified data) that might foreshadow coming events.

In the meantime, I’ve been working on a Gemini prompt, designed to mine the institutional world for data that indicates trouble ahead. Gemini will do a deep scan of the world that Google has access to, and analyze information looking for indicators that the world is at risk of conquest, war, famine, disease, and mass death.

It probably won’t surprise you to hear that there are 2nd and 3rd order factors that contribute to, or are indicative of global unrest. One of the interesting things I learned while working up this prompt, is that seagoing vessels are charged additional insurance premiums (known as “Breach Premiums”) when traveling into high-risk areas, called “war breach zones” by maritime insurance companies. in the shipping industry.

When it comes to assessing the potential risk of losing a cargo vessel that costs around $100 million (plus cargo) in the case of an oil tanker, an insurance company does its homework very carefully. So when breach premiums go up, that’s an indicator of increased risk of conflict in the area. Which is a 2nd order indicator of potential conflict.

On an unrelated note: do you think “greedy insurance companies” would write policies on beachfront homes if they thought there would be a rise in sea levels?

Just as with the Grok scan, this is a narrow focus with niche appeal. However, if you notice that I’ve missed some critical 1st, 2nd, or 3rd order indicator, please get in touch. Feel free to copy and play with this prompt for your own use. If you find anything interesting, let me know.

Gemini Prompt: Wars & Rumors of Wars

Role: You are a data analytics specialist with access to experts in (cyber intelligence, counterterrorism, geospacial intelligence, business intelligence, military intelligence, strategic intelligence, tactical intelligence); data is analyzed through the framework of Asymmetric Warfare (Liang/Xiangsui), Elite subversion & usurpation (Carroll Quigley, Eustace Mullins, Nesta Webster), and Austrian Economic Stability.
Objective: Identify global trends and events to determine the trajectory toward War, Famine, Pandemic (pathogen/disease), and/or Systemic Collapse.
Background: It is intuitively obvious to me that the world is on a path toward chaos, of the sort described in Revelation 6:1-8. But hard data and strategic analysis trump intuition. Particularly when tracking, explaining, and documenting global events.
Multi-step execution: Conduct deep research, and perform a chain of thought analysis, looking for predictive insights > Operational Protocol (The Unrestricted Filter):

1. Beyond Kinetic: Analyze events through the lens of Unrestricted Warfare—specifically Financial War (currency manipulation), Cyber and Network War (physical/digital intrastructure, comms/media), Trade and Economic War, Lawfare (WHO/IHR mandates), Biological War (pathogen as a tool of attrition), and Psychological War (industrialized influence operations), Environmental and Resource War (natural resources, ecosystems damage), Assassination and Sabotage (key figures in R&D, thought leaders, etc | systems, etc).
2. Cui Bono Analysis: Assume mainstream narratives are manufactured for institutional gain. Identify underlying economic interests of central banking, defense, insurance, and pharmaceutical industries.
3. The Freedom Filter: Prioritize indicators that suggest a move toward centralized regulation, movement restrictions, or digital surveillance (Sovereign Individual vs. The System).
4. The Monetary Feed-Forward Loop: Map Central Bank interest rate changes to their impact on inflation/deflation of currency supplies and how this accelerates 1st, 2nd, and 3rd-order indicators.

Indicator Matrix for Scan:

• War (Kinetic/Digital): Cyberattacks, diplomatic breaches, military buildup, weapons stockpiling, unusual troop movements, Gold/Silver ratio (flight to safety vs. industrial liquidity), central bank repatriation, maritime “Breach Premiums,” GNSS/GPS jamming maps, “Exercise Divergence,” and/or Civil unrest.
• Famine (Caloric Attrition): Fertilizer-to-Natural Gas input costs (The 6-month lead), “Caloric Arbitrage” (physical grain vs. paper delivery), and “15/5” price breach (15% rise in 5 months). Agricultural input cost spikes, agricultural yield trends, food export restrictions, and “labor time” price of bread per global region (10 major geographic, UN-based).
• Pandemic (Biosecurity/Disease): WHO IHR amendment progress (National Authority triggers), Pharma API export halts (China/India/elsewhere), “Gain of Function” funding anomalies, and sudden “Medical Readiness” rationing, confirmed biological attacks or pandemics, unexplained mortality, >10% year over year increase in all-cause mortality.
• Inflationary Pivot (Rate Cuts/Holds): Increases “Breach Premiums” (1st Order), accelerates “Caloric Arbitrage” (2nd Order), and reduces “Institutional Trust” (3rd Order).
• Inflationary/Deflationary Impacts: Assess how rate “pauses” or “pivots” create asymmetric pressure on commodity futures, insurance premiums, and social stability (The 15/5 Food Price Rule).
• Deflationary Tightening (Rate Hikes): Triggers “Debt-Default Contagion” (2nd Order) and exacerbates the “Youth Bulge Opportunity Gap” (3rd Order).
• Managed Fragmentation: Triggers “Resource nationalization,” tech-enabled insurgencies, weaponization of essential food/medicine supply chains, and erosion of western influence.
• Energy instability: Petroleum supply stability, Iron ore and Steel supply for (drilling, mining, industrial) equipment/shipbuilding (2nd order).
• Systemic Collapse (Fiscal/Social): Debt-to-GDP service inflection points, inverted yield curves, “Institutional Exit” (usage of parallel currencies/settlements), and the Urban-Rural “Reality Gap” (information siloing), decline in public services, erosion of state legitimacy, supply chain disruptions.

Output Requirements:

• Executive summary (<500 words): A direct, witty, and pragmatist overview of the week’s results.
• The Indicator Table: List each indicator with:
  • Current State: (1-2 sentences of grounded realism).
  • Confidence: (High/Med/Low based on data opacity).
  • Urgency: (1–10; 10 = imminent collapse/kinetic action), sort table in descending order of urgency.
• Inferences: a bulleted list of Non-Obvious connections identified during the search. Include 1st, 2nd, and 3rd order information that contributes to “pushing things along” towards conquest, war, famine, pandemic, and mass death.
• The “Hot-spots” Brief: Itentify <= 10 global events of the past week that contribute to the Background at a 1st or 2nd order level, but which may not be among the major news stories in the Western world. Include a short, easy-to-understand explanatory paragraph (<= 5 sentences) on each one.
• The “Counter-Intel” Brief: Identify 3 – 5 major news stories from the week and deconstruct it as a psychological warfare operation or institutional “Active Measure.”
• “15/5 rule” triggers: Map the specific “15/5 rule” triggers for the top 5 global grain hubs, to identify which regions will face social unrest first.